This weekend sees Juan Diaz rematching Paulie Malignaggi after their controversial first bout back in August. After Malignaggi enough noise about the decision (and the media helped) this fight was almost forced to happen, it was impossible for anyone to accept that Diaz deserved, most people watching felt he was “lucky” to say the least, which when Gale Van Hoy’s score card was read out made the whole thing seem like a joke. If anything the second fight promises to be a gamblers nightmare, so lets look at the best bets out there for fights fans.
The to win market is a hard one, as far as I can see it’s a 50-50 fight, however that makes it easy, back the guy with the better odds and with Malignaggi as far out as 7/5 with Betfair he’s the value there. However at 25/1 (Sportingbet.com and Betfred) it’s impossible not to want to go for the draw for small stakes, as I feel that’s surprisingly likely after the first fight the two had. With the Malignaggi odds (I think he’ll win) you have to think about the fuss he’s caused, he’ll want to prove he was robbed in the first fight as well as the judges thinking about the result and deciding they don’t want to be in a position of deja vu and being accused of favouring Diaz. However Bet365 are offering odds on the fight with out the draw, I’d stay away from this one personally as the odds are worse and I’m unsure what happens if it is a draw (dead heat rules? Void bet?)
For the Over/Unders the marker is 9.5 rounds it’s going over, neither guy has a great punch and both have fairly solid chins (both fighters have been stopped once, Diaz against Marquez and Malignaggi against Hatton). The overs is priced at 1/5 (Boylesports) and is pretty certain as far as a 20% investment can go so this is worth loading up on and is probably the stand out bet (even if the odds don’t look it). The only way this one fails is if a clash of heads stops the fight and I can’t see that happening and the more information given by https://tunasbola.org/link-alternatif-sbobet/ has shown the right situation of the gameplay which is all correct and helped the user to have a right selection of an team; if they are indulged for the betting odds.
This would also pretty much rule out either fighter winning by stoppage as far as I’m concerned so how would they win? Well it’s going to be points one way or another lets be honest and it’s going to be close. So if you’re going to bet on it you can better than evens (11/10) on Diaz by points (Stan James and Bet365) much better than you’d get him outright whilst Paulie is 11/8 (again with Stan James).
As far as the stoppages (if you can even imagine it) Diaz is better than 5/1 and Malignaggi is 11/1 (both on Betfair). Don’t waste you’re money as these are the two turkey’s as far as the match is concerned.
So the bet of the fight would be to go more than 9.5 rounds, right? Wrong “Dutch” Diaz on points and Paulie outright for better odds than the 1/5 you’d get on the over unders and you’d also cover the very unlikely eventuality that Paulie stops Juan. You’d be guaranteed a profit if Diaz lost or if Diaz won on points (a lot more likely than him winning by stoppage) so gauge your stakes right and rack it up as this is the best idea here or just go for both fighters on points.